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11.21.2016

Who Got it Right?

In this post-election shock, I've been driven to see who got the predictions RIGHT (Not Politicio, Not the NYT, not...well, the list could go on)

Trafalgar Group

This polling group accurately predicted that Trump would get 306 electoral votes, which he did.  Nate Silver gave this group a C- rating, leaving a little bit of mud in his face.  (Silver was giving Clinton an over 70% chance of winning the presidency on election day.  Is his day in the sunshine over?)

  They were ridiculed on Twitter, and polled using an unconventional question of asking who the person being polled believed his/her neighbor would be voting for, which resulted in higher answers for Trump, and so the pollsters concluded evidence of a 'shy Trump voter'.

Michael Moore

In this very moving video, non-Trump supporter Moore depicts the mentality of the Rust-belt voters, and explains why they'll be voting for Trump, and how it's giving a finger to the establishment.


Excerpt: 
Trump is the human hand grenade they can legally throw at the system....on November 8th, Election Day, although they lost their jobs, although they've been foreclosed on by the bank, next came the divorce and now the wife and kids are gone, the cars been repoed, they haven't had a real vacation in years, they're stuck with a shitty Obamacare Bronze Plan where you can't get a fucking percocet.  They've essentially lost everything that they had.  Except one thing.  The one thing that doesn't cost them a cent and is guaranteed to them by the American Constitution: the right to vote...it's equalized on that day.  A millionaire has the same number of votes as the person without a job: 1.  And there're more of the former middle class than there are in the millionare class.  On November 8th the dispossessed will...put a big fucking x in the box by the name of the man who's threatened to upend and upturn the very system that has ruined their lives  .....they see that the elites who ruined their lives hate Trump, corporate America hates Trump, Wall Street hates Trump, career politicians hate Trump, the media hates Trump.....Trump's election is going to be the biggest fuck you every recorded in human history.  And it will feel good.  
As an aside, Moore has distinguished himself in this post-election world as someone from the mainstream who's still pretty in touch with reality!


Scott Adams

Recently discovered his blog.  Interesting guy.

He's predicted Trump's win, (or really more specifially Hillary's loss) several times on his blog.  After Hillary's 9/11 collapse/dehydration incident he predicted that she'd be unable to win as the American psyche couldn't elect a leader who collapsed on such an important day.

Also, in this post, How to Know an Election is Over.  I love this one.  He tells us to watch this video, and to "ignore the content of what she says, because no one cares about content.  Just feel it.  And see the future."


I see what he's saying, she seems downright self-rightous, nasty, and, well, a little bitchy in this video.   Not exactly someone who you'd want to vote into office and have to listen to for the next four years.  

Well this list is by no means comprehensive, but an interesting sampling.  I guess that in hindsight everyone has 20-20 vision, as so many of the idiotic political experts, post-election, are claiming that "they knew it all along that Hillary was the wrong candidate for this time", when just before the election they were popping champagne bottles to pre-celebrate her victory.

These people above, however had tapped into something the rest of us hadn't.    

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